Climate Risk Assessment
and Management

A comprehensive framework to advert,
minimise and address loss and damage

Climate Risk Sourcebook

The Climate Risk Sourcebook (CR‐SB) delivers a conceptual framework for a comprehensive Climate Risk Assessment (CRA) together with modular instructions, divided in eight modules, on how it can be conducted (see figure below). It can be used:

  • as a ‘beginners guide’ on CRA,
  • for a rapid risk assessment at a sub‐national to local scale, to obtain an overview of the most relevant climate risks, or to prepare a more in‐depth risk assessment and/or
  • for training purposes.

Navigate through the modules by clicking on the graphic below:

Impact Chains

Impact chains represent a core element of the methodology of the Climate Risk Sourcebook. Some concrete examples of impact chains are displayed and discussed in the Sourcebook (from page 19). This page provides additional examples of impact chains serving as an inspiration when creating impact chains in a Climate Risk Assessment.

The IPCC’s sixth assessment report identified 120 key risks across sectors and regions (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/chapter/chapter-16/). Below is a selection of those key risks represented in the form of impact chains using only the information in the IPCC report. The impact chains are presented by sector.

Legend:

Biodiversity

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the biodiversity sector.

  • Risk of loss and degradation of warm-water coral reef ecosystems
  • Risk of reduced biodiversity in freshwater ecosystems due to drought
  • Risk to regional marine biodiversity, ecosystem function and associated ecosystem services
  • Risk of plant and animal species extinction
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Water

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the water sector.

  • Risk of fresh water supplies not meeting demand for agriculture or drinking water
  • Risk of loss of life and damage to property from river flooding
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Agriculture

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the agricultural sector.

  • Risk of food shortages and income loss to island and coastal communities and those that rely on coastal food production, particularly rice and coastal aquaculture
  • Risk of hunger, loss of livelihood for fisheries-dependent populations, and transboundary conflict arising from the movement of aquatic resources
  • Risk to livelihoods of livestock keepers seriously affected by increasing heat stress suffered by their animals
RISK OF HUNGER, LOSS OF LIVELIHOOD FOR FISHERIES-DEPENDENT POPULATIONS, AND TRANSBOUNDARY CONFLICT ARISING FROM THE MOVEMENT OF AQUATIC RESOURCES
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Energy

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the energy sector.

  • Risk of reduced energy supplies due to hydrological impacts
  • Risk to water and energy security due to drought-induced shortage of irrigation and hydropower
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Infrastructure

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the infrastructure sector.

  • Risk of damage to urban infrastructure from flooding and severe storms
  • Risk to life and property due to sea level rise and coastal flooding
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Health

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for the health sector.

  • Risk of loss of life and damage to property from wildfire
  • Risk of vector-born diseases due to increase in temperature, precipitaion and/or humidity
  • Risk to health and livelihood to agricultural labourers due to increased temperature and humidity
  • Risk to population from increased heat
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Livelihoods

Click “Show All” to display concrete examples of impact chains for livelihoods.

  • Risk of loss of livelihoods and forced migration (social tipping points) due to the degradation of livelihood assets by increasing drought and heat stress, particularly in already vulnerable regions
  • Risk to livelihoods in smallholder farming, fishing and aquaculture communities, including Indigenous communities due to more frequent extreme events
  • Risk to short-term and/or chronic food and feed shortage with cascading risk of civil unrest and social disruption
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Case Studies

General information

Project

Climate Risk Assessment for mountainous communities of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan

Overall goal

Elaboration of future climate scenarios and the analysis of climate risk based on the Impact Chain methodology in the target areas of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to support UNEP’s “Vanishing Treasures” Programme aiming to generate maximum synergy between climate change adaptation and biodiversity conservation.

Country

Tajikistan; Kyrgyzstan

Duration

1.12.2020 – 29.04.2022

Summary

Description

Mountain species that are already endangered are additionally threatened by Climate Change. UNEP’s ‘Vanishing Treasures’ Programme supports climate change adaptation of vulnerable species in mountain regions such as in Hindu-Kush Himalayas (Bhutan), in Central Asia (Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan) and in Virunga region (Rwanda and Uganda). In order to generate synergy between climate change adaptation and biodiversity conservation it is necessary to understand current and future potential risks of climate change to local communities living in close proximity to these species and their habitats. By understanding key climate risks and potential human-wildlife conflicts climate-smart measure can be integrated into conservation planning.

Methodology

Future climate scenarios and climate risk assessments were elaborated in selected project regions and communities of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to provide the Programme with the needed information to plan specific measures.

The assessment built upon the Impact Chain analytical approach of the Vulnerability Sourcebook Risk Supplement (https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/GIZ-2017_Risk-Supplement-to-the-Vulnerability-Sourcebook.pdf). To apply this analytical approach and assess each of the risk components and the overall risk, quantitative data analyses (climate scenarios, climate indices and extremes, snow cover, glacier extent) were combined with qualitative information collected through participatory methods (workshops with experts, community consultations) and secondary sources. While the climate analysis refers to national and project region levels, the assessment of climate risks focuses on the specific communities, where community consultations and field visits took place, and for which a better understanding of climate impacts and vulnerability factors could be obtained.

Key outputs

For the visited communities in Tajikistan, the main climate risk identified and assessed refers to the risk of loss of livelihoods for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, and missing irrigation water for fodder and food production. For the visited communities in Kyrgyzstan, the main climate risk identified and assessed refers to the risk of loss of livelihoods for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, missing irrigation water for fodder and food production, and heat-exacerbated animal disease. The absence of water governance destroyed water irrigation channels and lack of investments in infrastructure development have been identified as major vulnerability factors and are currently the drivers of a mainly human-induced water stress in the visited communities of the two countries.

Impact chains

Impact chains were developed together with stakeholders for three key risks. See for example the impact chain “Risk of loss of livelihoods (income, subsistence) for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, missing irrigation water for fodder and food production and heat exacerbated animal disease” below.

Comprehensive Risk Assessment tables

Comprehensive risk assessment tables were developed for every key risk and for each project site (community level). Below is an example of such a table for the Risk of loss of livelihoods (income, subsistence) for livestock owners in Ghudara village, Tajikistan.

Documents

Images

Photo 1: High mountain landscape (© Marc Zebisch)
Photo 2: Broken irrigation channel in Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan (© Marc Zebisch)

 

Photo 3: Community consultation in Ghudara, Tajikistan (© Eirini Skrimizea).
Photo 4: Overgrazing near Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan (© Marc Zebisch)

 

General information

Project

Climate Risk Assessment for mountainous communities of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan.

Overall goal

Elaboration of future climate scenarios and the analysis of climate risk based on the Impact Chain methodology in the target areas of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to support UNEP’s “Vanishing Treasures” Programme aiming to generate maximum synergy between climate change adaptation and biodiversity conservation.

Country

Tajikistan; Kyrgyzstan

Duration

1.12.2020 – 29.04.2022

Summary

Description

Mountain species that are already endangered are additionally threatened by Climate Change. UNEP’s ‘Vanishing Treasures’ Programme supports climate change adaptation of vulnerable species in mountain regions such as in Hindu-Kush Himalayas (Bhutan), in Central Asia (Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan) and in Virunga region (Rwanda and Uganda). In order to generate synergy between climate change adaptation and biodiversity conservation it is necessary to understand current and future potential risks of climate change to local communities living in close proximity to these species and their habitats. By understanding key climate risks and potential human-wildlife conflicts climate-smart measure can be integrated into conservation planning.

Methodology

Future climate scenarios and climate risk assessments were elaborated in selected project regions and communities of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to provide the Programme with the needed information to plan specific measures.

The assessment built upon the Impact Chain analytical approach of the Vulnerability Sourcebook Risk Supplement (https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/GIZ-2017_Risk-Supplement-to-the-Vulnerability-Sourcebook.pdf). To apply this analytical approach and assess each of the risk components and the overall risk, quantitative data analyses (climate scenarios, climate indices and extremes, snow cover, glacier extent) were combined with qualitative information collected through participatory methods (workshops with experts, community consultations) and secondary sources. While the climate analysis refers to national and project region levels, the assessment of climate risks focuses on the specific communities, where community consultations and field visits took place, and for which a better understanding of climate impacts and vulnerability factors could be obtained.

Key outputs

For the visited communities in Tajikistan, the main climate risk identified and assessed refers to the risk of loss of livelihoods for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, and missing irrigation water for fodder and food production. For the visited communities in Kyrgyzstan, the main climate risk identified and assessed refers to the risk of loss of livelihoods for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, missing irrigation water for fodder and food production, and heat-exacerbated animal disease. The absence of water governance destroyed water irrigation channels and lack of investments in infrastructure development have been identified as major vulnerability factors and are currently the drivers of a mainly human-induced water stress in the visited communities of the two countries.

Impact chains

Impact chains were developed together with stakeholders for three key risks. See for example the impact chain “Risk of loss of livelihoods (income, subsistence) for livestock owners due to drought impact on pasture, missing irrigation water for fodder and food production and heat exacerbated animal disease” below.

Comprehensive Risk Assessment tables

Comprehensive risk assessment tables were developed for every key risk and for each project site (community level). Below is an example of such a table for the Risk of loss of livelihoods (income, subsistence) for livestock owners in Ghudara village, Tajikistan.

Documents

Images

Photo 1: High mountain landscape (© Marc Zebisch)
Photo 2: Broken irrigation channel in Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan (© Marc Zebisch)

 

Photo 3: Community consultation in Ghudara, Tajikistan (© Eirini Skrimizea).
Photo 4: Overgrazing near Suusamyr, Kyrgyzstan (© Marc Zebisch)

 

General information

Project

Climate Risk Assessment in the Sebou Catchment, Morocco – a first pilot study of the new Climate Risk Sourcebook.

Overall goal

Test and application of the approaches of the new Climate Risk Sourcebook in the framework of Moroccan-German project “Rural Resilience – Water Resources Management for Poverty Reduction and Resilience Building” (RR) (Project-Nr., 2018.2115.6). The focus was on building impact chains for key risks and supporting the selection of adaptation options.

Country

Morocco

Duration

24.01.2023 – 24.07.2023

 

Summary

Description

This study was carried out within the scope of the GIZ project Résilience Rural (RR), which has the overall objective to strengthen the resilience of smallholder farmers in Morocco. The study looks particularly into the climate risks related to water scarcity and prepared the ground for feasible options to adapt to related pressures of the current and possible also future challenges. The geographical extent of this study is set by the Sebou River catchment in the northern part of Morocco. It strongly builds on the findings of the three intervention areas of the RR project in this region, namely Aït Hsaine Ouhaned, Aït Saïd Ouhaddou and Ouled Slimane. The study’s objective is both to support the RR project in their climate risk analysis as well as in the identification of feasible adaptation options and to present a pilot study for the online version of the new Climate Risk Sourcebook (CR-SB).

Methodology

Results were based on findings from the RR project including the collection of available information on climatic and non-climatic risk drivers within the region. Initial impact chains, that have been developed within local workshops were refined and reviewed by GIZ with the help of experts from Eurac Research. Further input on climate risks in the Sebou catchment have been collected during a field stay, a 5-day consultation with local GIZ experts and a full day workshop in Rabat with participants from different departments and NGOs.

The assessment was following the new Sourcebook with its new modules. The focus was on scoping, risk identification and risk analysis with impact chains for the current and near-term period. Furthermore, the module “Towards adaptation” was tested.

Key outputs

Key risks to three subsystems where assessed:

  • Risk to water security
  • Risk to agriculture
  • Risk to forest ecosystems

The main climate-induced water-related risk concerning smallholder farmers is a reduced quantity of water available for agricultural activities. The risk of reduced water availability in the Sebou catchment is based on the two major aspects of water supply and water demand. The water supply is mainly influenced by rising evapotranspiration losses with the consequence of reduced surface water and slowing groundwater replenishing processes. The water demand in agriculture in the catchment is strongly linked to the extension of irrigated agricultural areas. The reduced water supply combined with the increase in water demand leads to growing water stress in the region evident by drying springs and vanishing surface water in most time of the year. A severe consequence of this situation is an intensification of groundwater withdrawal for agricultural activities resulting in lowered groundwater tables, reported to be sinking by up to several meters a year.

With less water available for irrigation in agriculture, crops get exposed to more stress, which leads to less yield and a reduced quality of it. Another factor that exerts stress on yield are extreme precipitation events like hailstorm that damage the crop or can even immediately cause yield losses. On the one hand reduced yield causes for small holder farmers a key impact of a loss of income as they can sell less crops on the market. In the absence of resilience mechanisms, the population is beginning to abandon the traditional way of life and many young people are leaving the area.

Besides droughts, non-climatic drivers such as the extension of agriculture land through deforestation or grazing in forests are putting pressure on forest ecosystems. A degrading forest facilitates soil erosion, which is also likely to occur more often due to the increase of extreme rain events. This leads to the loss of biodiversity in the forest and associated with this also the loss of non-timber forest products.

Impact chains

Impact chains were developed and refined based on input form the project, consultation with GIZ experts, a field stay and workshop. Impact chains were developed for each subsystem (water, agriculture, forest and grassland ecosystems) separately. Finally, one overall impact chain with a focus on the interlinkages between the systems was developed (see Figure 1)

Identification of adaptation options

Applying the new module “Towards adaptation” and taking the identified key risks and the risk mechanisms (impact chains) into account, a series of adaptation options was identified:

For the system water & agriculture:

Vulnerability factor Measure Description Impact addressed 
Lack of coordination, monitoring and controlling of water usage/management 

Establishment of a ‘water police’ 

  

Intended to monitor withdrawals from water sources to prevent excessive, illegal pumping. This reduces the illegal emptying of groundwater reservoirs 

  

  

Increase of groundwater usage due to drilling intensification 

Sectoral conflicting objectives, 

lack of coordination, monitoring and controlling of water usage/management 

Establishment of associations of Agricultural Water Users 

  

Better coordination of farmers’ water needs, strengthen voice and resilience of individual farmers  Reduced access to water 

Lack of coordination, monitoring and controlling of water usage/management, 

lacking sewage treatment plant 

Re-use of wastewater 

Reduces dependence on rain/groundwater – can ensure irrigation during dry periods 

  

  

Less water for irrigation 
Sectoral conflicting objectives Capacity building  Intended to increase the ability to coordinate different objectives of water usage Partially/reduced access to water & rising costs in groundwater access 
Increase in private wells Awareness raising: groundwater as common resource Respecting the general good. Reduction of individual well development Increase of groundwater usage due to drilling intensification 

For the system ecosystem & biodiversity:

Vulnerability factor 

Measure 

Description 

Impact addressed 

Non-appropriate trees (e.g. eucalyptus) 

Using appropriate tree species (capacity building contributes to this) 

Less water intensive species -> less water consumption 

Reduced forest (re)generation 

Overgrazing in forest 

Job creation/reduction of poverty 

Alternative incomes outside agriculture ->  farmers no longer have to overuse/overgraze pastures to have sufficient income -> Forest able to regenerate  

  

Reduced forest (re)generation 

Extension of agricultural areas (e.g. cannabis cultivation or burning down of forest for farmland) 

Forest protection 

Establishing protected areas with limited human presence or exploitation of natural resources 

Reduced forest (re)generation 

Lack of awareness of value of forest 

Awareness raising for the forest ecosystem services 

Capacity building highlights the importance of forest ecosystem services -> appreciation and consideration for natural processes increase 

Reduced forest (re)generation & loss of forest ecosystems 

 
Figure 1: Impact chains across systems with key risks (grey boxes with red border): risk to water security due to reduced access to water, Risk to forests due to a loss of forest ecosystems, risk to agriculture due to stress on agricultural crops, risk to local communities due to rising costs for (ground-)water access, loss of income due to lesser agricultural production, loss of income due to a reduced forest production.

Documents

Images

Photo 1: unfunctional irrigation channel in Aït Saïd Ouhaddou, Morocco (© Eurac Research)
Photo 2: Workshop with national experts in Rabat (© Eurac Research)
Photo 3: Sebou catchment (© Eurac Research)

General information

Project

Programme de Renforcement des conditions et Capacités d’adaptation durable au Changement Climatique/ Programme d’appui au gestion d`environnement (PRCCC/PAGE)
Programme to Strengthen Conditions and Capacities for Sustainable Adaptation to Climate Change/ Environmental Management Support Programm .

Overall goal

The overall objective was to identify climate related risks and to development context-specific adaptation solutions.

Country

Madagascar  

Regions

Analamanga, Boeny and Diana 

Duration

01.2022-05.2022 (excluding May)

Summary

Description

The intensifying impacts of climate change in Madagascar threaten the livelihoods of local communities and the well-being of natural ecosystems. Since the negative impacts of climate change are already present in Madagascar and will further intensify over the upcoming decades it is a priority for Madagascar´s government to take the necessary adaptation measures for local adaptation planning. Within each region, Boeny, Diana and Anamalanga, a comprehensive risk assessment was conducted across various sectors including agriculture and livestock, water supply and sanitation, forest and biodiversity. In Analamanga, a specific assessment of infrastructure including the city of Antananarivo was undertaken, whereas in Boeny and Diana, the project extended its scope to encompass coastal areas and fisheries. 

Methodology

The risk assessment was conducted by Madagascar´s National Environmental Agency (ONE), based on the results of the previous assessment implemented by adelphi consultant GmbH. The procedure and methodology was oriented according to the Climate Vulnerability Sourcebook. The approach of using impact chains as explained in the Climate Vulnerability Sourcebook had the advantage of illustrating the complex inter-relations between hazards, exposure, vulnerabilities, and risks. To provide tailor-made solutions for the target region an adapted version to the Malagasy context was developed and used. Adaptation measures for each region and for the municipal level were identified. The method combined quantitative and qualitive data such as climate scenarios, climate indices and extremes on the one hand and workshops with experts, community consultations and field visits on the other hand.  

Key outputs

Here we exemplary present the results of the forest and biodiversity sector in the Diana region. 

The increase in duration of strong winds caused by trade winds (varatraza) and cyclones is the main climatic threat to the Diana region. Combined with changes in precipitation and increasing temperatures, these hazards have an adverse impact on biodiversity of the region. The main risks posed by these climatic hazards are: 

  • Habitat loss (forest, marine, and aquatic), species loss, and decline in timber and non-timber forest products (or forest biomass), 
  • the proliferation of invasive species and  
  • ecological imbalance. 

Climate Risk Map  

Figure 1: The region Diana and its location in Madagascar. In the large map the colors illustrate the following: red = high risk, orange = medium risk, yellow = low risk.

Impact chains

Figure 2: The impact chains illustrate the inter-relations and causal effects between hazards, indirect and direct risks and their differential consequences on other subsystems.

Documents

Standard-Elements of Climate Risk Analysis

Climate‐related hazards include any type of extreme weather events (e.g. heatwaves, droughts, extreme precipitation events, storms) as well as climate‐related slow‐onset processes (e.g. increasing temperatures, increasing aridity, acidification, glacier melt or sea‐level rise) that are triggering adverse consequences for human or ecological systems (see also https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/climate-risk-assessment-management/climate-risk-sourcebook/conceptual-framework).

Hazard category
Climate-related hazard factor
Heat and cold
Increase in average temperatures
Heat and cold
Decrease in average temperatures
Heat and cold
Increase in heatwaves
Heat and cold
Increase in frequency and intensity of extreme heat events
Heat and cold
Increase of concentration mixture of extreme heat + humidity
Heat and cold
Increase in cold spells (no. of cold days)
Heat and cold
Increase in frost events (no. of frost days)
Heat and cold
Increase in heating degree days
Heat and cold
Increase in cooling degree days
Heat and cold
Vegetation growing degree days
Wet and dry
Increase in average precipitation
Wet and dry
Decrease in average precipitation
Wet and dry
Change in precipitation patterns/variability
Wet and dry
Increase in dry days (no. of days)
Wet and dry
Increase in number of consecutive dry days
Wet and dry
Increase in extreme rainfall events (no. of days with heavy rain)
Wet and dry
Increase in frequency of extreme precipitation
Wet and dry
Increase in hailstorms
Wet and dry
Increase in drought events
Wet and dry
Increasingly erratic rainfall
Wet and dry
Lower annual mean river flows
Wet and dry
Higher river flows
Wet and dry
River floods
Wet and dry
Increased in flood events
Wet and dry
Increase in humidity
Wet and dry
Inreasing intensity of fire weather
Wet and dry
Long fire season
Snow/ice
Decrease in solid precipitation (snow)
Snow/ice
Decrease in snow cover (+ less melt water)
Snow/ice
Increase in heavy snowfall events
Snow/ice
Increase in snow storms
Snow/ice
Accelerated melting of glaciers
Snow/ice
Increasing permafrost thawing
Wind & Storm
Increase in strong winds
Wind & Storm
Increase in tropical cyclones/hurricanes
Wind & Storm
Increase in tornadoes
Coastal/Oceanic
Rising sea levels
Coastal/Oceanic
Increasing ocean acidification
Coastal/Oceanic
Increase in sea surface temperature
Coastal/Oceanic
Increase in ocean heatwaves
Coastal/Oceanic
Increase in storm surge events
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Vulnerability is the propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected and includes all relevant environmental, physical, technical, social, cultural, economic, institutional, or policy‐related factors. These contribute to and encompass a variety of concepts and elements, including sensitivity or susceptibility to harm, and/or lack of capacity to prevent, prepare, respond, cope and/or adapt (see also https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/climate-risk-assessment-management/climate-risk-sourcebook/conceptual-framework).

Vulnerability category
Vulnerability factor
Environmental
Steep slopes
Environmental
High drought sensitivity of crops
Environmental
Overgrazing
Environmental
Degredation of ecosystem services and functions
Environmental
Increasing number of livestock
Environmental
High vulnerability of freshwater faunae
Environmental
Urban heat islands
Environmental
Slow penetration and increasing cost of air conditioning
Environmental
Encroachment of urban areas into areas that retain water
Environmental
Increased concentrations of coastal urban population
Environmental
Insecticide resistance
Environmental
Unsuitable crop varieties
Environmental
High disease prevalence
Environmental
High prevalence of pests
Environmental
High prevalence of weeds
Environmental
High prevalence of land degradation
Environmental
High rates of deforestation
Environmental
Frequent bushfires
Environmental
Unfavourable soil conditions
Environmental
Water scarce area
Environmental
Poor access to drinking water (increased time and travel)
Environmental
No alternative access to freshwater resources
Environmental
Major component of local diet
Environmental
Reliance on rainfed agriculture
Environmental
High reliance on single sources of energy production
Environmental
Insufficient options for food supply from outside the region
Environmental
Lack of alternative energy supplies or battery storage
Environmental
Insufficient protection of the transport infrastructure
Environmental
Dependency on a single crop type
Environmental
Crop is highly susceptible to pests
Environmental
Crop is highly susceptible to diseases
Environmental
Animal/breed is highly susceptible to pests
Environmental
Animal/breed is highly susceptible to diseases
Environmental
Inappropriate river system management
Environmental
Underpreparedness of fisheries for geographic shifts in marine animals
Environmental
Poor efficiency of farming
Environmental
Demographic pressure on land
Environmental
Small farm size
Environmental
Dependency on groundwater
Environmental
Unsustainable natural resource use
Environmental
Lack of production alternatives
Environmental
Poor drainage
Environmental
Soil degredation
Environmental
Insufficient energy transmission infrastructure
Environmental
Aging forest stand
Environmental
Channeled river
Environmental
Soil erosion
Environmental
Increased nutrients from fertilizers
Environmental
Absence of river buffer zones
Environmental
River water abstractions
Environmental
Inadequate storage capacity
Environmental
Inadequate storage infrastructure
Environmental
Intensive tillage
Environmental
Lack of diversification in water resources
Environmental
High irrigation requirement
Environmental
Use of water intensive varieties
Environmental
Lack of flood protection infrastructure
Environmental
Lack of maintenance of protective infrastructure
Environmental
High reliance on hydropower for national electricity generation
Environmental
Lack of irrigation infrastructure
Environmental
Inappropriate irrigation infrastructure
Environmental
Lack of road infrastructure
Environmental
Lack of access to agricultural inputs
Environmental
Lack of access to improved crop varieties
Environmental
Lack of access to improved livestock breeds
Environmental
Habitat fragmentation
Environmental
Air and water pollution
Environmental
Competition from invasive species
Environmental
Species have evolved in very specific climate conditions
Environmental
Species and plants with limited dispersal capabilities
Environmental
Inappropriate pasture management
Environmental
Conflict prone area
Environmental
Predominantly small-scale subsistence farming
Environmental
Unsustainable agricultural practices
Environmental
Poor water use efficiency and management
Environmental
Poor efficiency of farming
Environmental
Reliance of farming community on manual agricultural labour
Environmental
Reliance of farming community on livestock, particularly cattle
Environmental
Limited uptake of modern technologies
Environmental
Inadequate housing and occupations with exposure to heat
Environmental
Weak land tenure and property rights
Environmental
Forced migration into cities (heat stress in urban areas)
Environmental
Inappropriate management of riverbeds and mudflow channels
Environmental
Low ability to manage, store and supply fresh water
Environmental
Inefficient reservoir management
Environmental
Small-scale food production
Social
Lack of access to a financial safety net (credit, financial savings, insurance, remittance, etc.)
Social
Lack of options for alternative incomes
Social
Inability to interpret climate information
Social
Deficits in risk communication
Social
Lack of appropriate information
Social
Lack of implementation of hazard-resistent building codes
Social
Lack of social networks
Social
Inequal treatment of women workers
Social
High poverty levels
Social
Poor hygiene conditions
Social
Weak land tenure and access rights for women
Social
Inappropriate governance or inadequate planning and implementation of water infrastructure
Social
Poor governance
Social
Poor sanitation governance
Social
Inadequate improvements in public health systems
Social
Poor state support
Social
Inconsistencies in policy implementation
Social
Missing hazard zone planning
Social
Lack of access to early warning systems
Social
Inadequate climate information services
Social
Uncertainties in future regional climate projections and low confidence in decision making
Social
Insufficient institutional support for adaptation and recovery, particularly for severe infrequent events
Social
Poor health
Social
Pre-existing health conditions exacerbated by exposure to smoke
Social
Lack of access to health facilities
Social
Unequal opportunities for women
Social
Low access to credit for women farmers
Social
Lack of knowledge on processing/value addition
Social
High illiteracy rates
Social
Low level of education
Social
Lack of access to education
Social
Inadequate agri research and development
Social
Lack of experience with extreme events and slow-onset processes
Social
Lack of implementation of risk and emergency planning
Social
Low perception of own risk
Social
Lack of land use planning
Social
Lack of willingness to relocate from flood-prone areas
Social
Lack of measures for flood protection and response on community level
Economic
Food insecurity already high
Economic
Limited trade and transport of food
Economic
Little investment in drainage solutions
Economic
Unstable commodity prices
Economic
Shortage of labour
Economic
Low access to markets
Economic
Low access to credit
Economic
High interest rates
Economic
Barriers to trade
Economic
Lack of access to market information
Economic
Low access to agricultural extension services
Economic
Lack of access to processing equipment
Economic
Unstable commodity prices
Economic
Producers with marginal assets
Economic
Reliance on aquatic products and tourism for livelihoods
Economic
Dependency on fisheries for income and nutrition
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Exposure describes first who or what is exposed. According to the IPCC, exposure is the presence of people, livelihoods, species or ecosystems, environmental functions, services, and resources, infrastructure, or economic, social, or cultural assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected (see also https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/climate-risk-assessment-management/climate-risk-sourcebook/conceptual-framework).

Exposure category
Exposure factor
Ecosystems
Plant and animal species
Ecosystems
Tropical forests
Ecosystems
Arctic tundra
Ecosystems
Southern tundra
Ecosystems
Increase of concentration mixture of extreme heat + humidity
Ecosystems
Coral reef ecosystems
Ecosystems
Fish
Ecosystems
Forests
Ecosystems
Shrublands
Ecosystems
Wetlands
Ecosystems
Marine ecosystems
Ecosystems
Terrestrial ecosystems
Ecosystems
Freshwater ecosystems
Ecosystems
Polar regions
Ecosystems
Mountain regions
Ecosystems
Mangrove forests
Ecosystems
Seagrass meadows
Ecosystems
Alpine ecosystems
Ecosystems
Alpine species
Ecosystems
Alpine woodland
Ecosystems
Kelp forests
Ecosystems
Sea ice habitats
Ecosystems
Nearshore ecosystems
Ecosystems
River ecosystems
Ecosystems
Estuarine ecosystems
Ecosystems
Mid- to low- elevation forests
Ecosystems
Grasslands
People
Population
People
Populations living in fire-prone areas
People
Population in coastal regions
People
Populations living in areas prone to reduced water availability
People
Populations living in flood plains
People
Populations with strong cultural identity links to water, snow and ice conditions
People
Populations living in urban areas
People
Farmers
People
Manual labourers
People
Outdoor workers
People
Populations in climate hotspots
People
Aquafarmers
People
Subsistence hunters and fishers
People
Communities in areas with permafrost
People
Built-upareas
Infrastructure
Infrastructure in coastal regions
Infrastructure
Energy infrastructure
Infrastructure
Urban infrastructure
Infrastructure
Buildings
Infrastructure
Transport infrastructure
Infrastructure
Water infrastructure
Infrastructure
Agricultural infrastructure
Infrastructure
Electricity infrastructure
Infrastructure
Health infrastructure
Cultural heritage
Cultural heritage sites
Cultural heritage
Cultural values
Services
Food system
Economy
Coastal fishery area
Economy
Agricultural land
Economy
Crop land
Economy
Livestock
Economy
Tourism providers
Economy
Touristic infrastructure
Economy
Companies
Economy
Operating sites
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Additional Resources (Guidelines, Tools and Data)

The table below lists some additional resources that are useful when conducting a climate risk assessment. 

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